Running probabilistic programs backwards

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Publication:2802430

DOI10.1007/978-3-662-46669-8_3zbMATH Open1335.68029arXiv1412.4053OpenAlexW1534323856MaRDI QIDQ2802430FDOQ2802430


Authors: Neil Toronto, Jay McCarthy, David van Horn Edit this on Wikidata


Publication date: 26 April 2016

Published in: Programming Languages and Systems (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: Many probabilistic programming languages allow programs to be run under constraints in order to carry out Bayesian inference. Running programs under constraints could enable other uses such as rare event simulation and probabilistic verification---except that all such probabilistic languages are necessarily limited because they are defined or implemented in terms of an impoverished theory of probability. Measure-theoretic probability provides a more general foundation, but its generality makes finding computational content difficult. We develop a measure-theoretic semantics for a first-order probabilistic language with recursion, which interprets programs as functions that compute preimages. Preimage functions are generally uncomputable, so we derive an abstract semantics. We implement the abstract semantics and use the implementation to carry out Bayesian inference, stochastic ray tracing (a rare event simulation), and probabilistic verification of floating-point error bounds.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1412.4053




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