Markov-modulated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes

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Publication:2806355




Abstract: In this paper we consider an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process (M(t))tgeqslant0 whose parameters are determined by an external Markov process (X(t))tgeqslant0 on a finite state space 1,ldots,d; this process is usually referred to as Markov-modulated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (MMOU). We use stochastic integration theory to determine explicit expressions for the mean and variance of M(t). Then we establish a system of partial differential equations (PDEs) for the Laplace transform of M(t) and the state X(t) of the background process, jointly for time epochs t=t1,ldots,tK. Then we use this PDE to set up a recursion that yields all moments of M(t) and its stationary counterpart; we also find an expression for the covariance between M(t) and M(t+u). We then establish a functional central limit theorem for M(t) for the situation that certain parameters of the underlying OU processes are scaled, in combination with the modulating Markov process being accelerated; interestingly, specific scalings lead to drastically different limiting processes. We conclude the paper by considering the situation of a single Markov process modulating multiple OU processes.



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