Assessing the efficiency of movement restriction as a control strategy of Ebola

DOI10.1007/978-3-319-40413-4_9MaRDI QIDQ2826565zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors B. Espinoza, Victor Moreno, Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Derdei Bichara

Publication date 17 October 2016

Published in Mathematical and Statistical Modeling for Emerging and Re-emerging Infectious Diseases (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/1510.07415

zbMATH Keywords

epidemic modelpatch modelspatial modelEbolatransmission dynamics

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30)

Abstract: We formulate a two-patch mathematical model for Ebola Virus Disease dynamics in order to evaluate the effectiveness of extit{cordons sanitaires}, mandatory movement restrictions between communities while exploring their role on disease dynamics and final epidemic size. Simulations show that severe restrictions in movement between high and low risk areas of closely linked communities may have a deleterious impact on the overall levels of infection in the total population.

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Cites work

• Age of infection epidemic models with heterogeneous mixing
• Age-of-infection and the final size relation
• On the definition and the computation of the basic reproduction ratio \(R_ 0\) in models for infectious diseases in heterogeneous populations
• Reproduction numbers and sub-threshold endemic equilibria for compartmental models of disease transmission
• Some simple epidemic models
• Statistical Inference in a Stochastic Epidemic SEIR Model with Control Intervention: Ebola as a Case Study

Cited in

(7)

• A simple mathematical model for Ebola in Africa
• Effect of human mobility on the spatial spread of airborne diseases: an epidemic model with indirect transmission
• A metapopulation model with exit screening measure for the 2014--2016 West Africa Ebola virus outbreak
• A general multipatch model of Ebola dynamics
• Epidemic models with heterogeneous mixing and indirect transmission
• A reliable and competitive mathematical analysis of Ebola epidemic model
• Ebola outbreaks and international travel restrictions: case studies of Central and West Africa regions

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