Shadowing Lemma and chaotic orbit determination

DOI10.1007/S10569-015-9667-7zbMATH Open1336.37063arXiv1506.03221OpenAlexW3098370996WikidataQ124799505 ScholiaQ124799505MaRDI QIDQ285137FDOQ285137

Authors: Federica Spoto, Andrea Milani 

Publication date: 18 May 2016

Published in: Celestial Mechanics and Dynamical Astronomy (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: Orbit determination is possible for a chaotic orbit of a dynamical system, given a finite set of observations, provided the initial conditions are at the central time. In a simple discrete model, the standard map, we tackle the problem of chaotic orbit determination when observations extend beyond the predictability horizon. If the orbit is hyperbolic, a shadowing orbit is computed by the least squares orbit determination. We test both the convergence of the orbit determination iterative procedure and the behaviour of the uncertainties as a function of the maximum number $n$ of map iterations observed. When the initial conditions belong to a chaotic orbit, the orbit determination is made impossible by numerical instability beyond a computability horizon, which can be approximately predicted by a simple formula. Moreover, the uncertainty of the results is sharply increased if a dynamical parameter is added to the initial conditions as parameter to be estimated. The uncertainty of the dynamical parameter decreases like $n^a$ with $a<0$ but not large (of the order of unity). If only the initial conditions are estimated, their uncertainty decreases exponentially with $n$. If they belong to a non-chaotic orbit the computational horizon is much larger, if it exists at all, and the decrease of the uncertainty is polynomial in all parameters, like $n^a$ with $asimeq1/2$. The Shadowing Lemma does not dictate what the asymptotic behaviour of the uncertainties should be. These phenomena have significant implications, which remain to be studied, in practical problems of orbit determination involving chaos, such as the chaotic rotation state of a celestial body and a chaotic orbit of a planet-crossing asteroid undergoing many close approaches.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1506.03221

Recommendations

• A multi-arc approach for chaotic orbit determination problems
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1264773
• Shadowing in ordinary differential equations
• Do numerical orbits of chaotic dynamical processes represent true orbits?
• A note on the shadowing lemma of Liao: a generalized and improved version

zbMATH Keywords

chaotic motioncomputability horizonleast squares fitorbit determinationShadowing Lemmastandard map

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Strange attractors, chaotic dynamics of systems with hyperbolic behavior (37D45) Dynamical systems in classical and celestial mechanics (37N05) Celestial mechanics (70F15)

Cites Work

• Shadowing in dynamical systems
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• \(\omega\)-limit sets for axiom A diffeomorphisms
• Theory of orbit determination.

Cited In (5)

• Orbit determination for standard-like maps: asymptotic expansion of the confidence region in regular zones
• A multi-arc approach for chaotic orbit determination problems
• Asymptotic behaviour of orbit determination for hyperbolic maps
• Shadowing chains of collision orbits
• Asymptotic behaviour of the confidence region in orbit determination for hyperbolic maps with a parameter

This page was built for publication: Shadowing Lemma and chaotic orbit determination

Report a bug (only for logged in users!)Click here to report a bug for this page (MaRDI item Q285137)