The deterministic SIS epidemic model in a Markovian random environment

DOI10.1007/S00285-015-0943-7MaRDI QIDQ304207zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors Antonis Economou, M. J. Lopez-Herrero

Publication date 24 August 2016

Published in Journal of Mathematical Biology (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1007/s00285-015-0943-7

zbMATH Keywords

color noiseepidemic modelMarkov chainrandom environmentsteady-state distribution

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Ordinary differential equations and systems with randomness (34F05) Applications of continuous-time Markov processes on discrete state spaces (60J28) Epidemiology (92D30)

Review text

This paper studies a deterministic SIS epidemic spreading model with infection and recovery rates related to a random environment. Based on the continuous-time Markov chain theory, the authors derive a system of ODEs that govern the steady-state distribution of the number of infectives. Two special cases of alternating environment and slowly/rapidly changing environment are deeply looked into. Some numerical experiments are performed to demonstrate the obtained results. In particular, the proposed framework is potentially applicable for epidemic spreading involving seasonality effects and environmental influences.

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Cited in

(16)

• Positive recurrence and extinction of hybrid stochastic SIRS model with nonlinear incidence rate
• Dynamics of an SIR epidemic model with varying population sizes and regime switching in a two patch setting
• Dynamical behavior of stochastic SIRS model with two different incidence rates and Markovian switching
• Numerical analysis of split-step \(\theta\) methods with truncated Wiener process for a stochastic SIS epidemic model
• On the stochastic SIS epidemic model in a periodic environment
• Hybrid Markov chain models of S-I-R disease dynamics
• The stochastic SIS epidemic model in a random environment
• The extinction probability of a class of continuous infectious diseases models in a Markovian environment
• Stochastic epidemic models with random environment: quasi-stationarity, extinction and final size
• Cross-infection in epidemics spread by carriers
• Co-jumps and Markov counting systems in random environments
• N-intertwined SIS epidemic model with Markovian switching
• Stochastic approach in epidemic modeling using the SEIRS
• Extinction and stationary distribution of a heroin epidemic model with Lévy jumps and Markov switching
• A new method for the estimation of stochastic epidemic descriptors reinforced by Kalman-based dynamic parameter estimation. Application to mpox data
• Dynamic estimation of stochastic descriptors in the SPIR model using particle filtering

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