Predicting the Equity Premium with Dividend Ratios

From MaRDI portal
Publication:3114845

DOI10.1287/mnsc.49.5.639.15149zbMath1232.91720OpenAlexW3121542091MaRDI QIDQ3114845

Amit Goyal, Ivo Welch

Publication date: 19 February 2012

Published in: Management Science (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.49.5.639.15149




Related Items

Approximately normal tests for equal predictive accuracy in nested modelsUsing out-of-sample mean squared prediction errors to test the martingale difference hypothesisAsymmetries in risk premia, macroeconomic uncertainty and business cyclesESTIMATION AND INFERENCE FOR VARYING-COEFFICIENT MODELS WITH NONSTATIONARY REGRESSORS USING PENALIZED SPLINESStrategic asset allocation with liabilities: beyond stocks and bondsForecasting stock market returns over multiple time horizonsRolling window selection for out-of-sample forecasting with time-varying parametersThe macroeconomic and fiscal implications of inflation forecast errorsOn empirical likelihood test for predictabilityStock prices-inflation puzzle and the predictability of stock market returnsImproved tests for stock return predictabilityPenetrating sporadic return predictabilityEvaluating forecast performance with state dependenceStock volatility predictability in bull and bear marketsReexamining time-varying bond risk premia in the post-financial crisis eraRobust portfolio rules and detection-error probabilities for a mean-reverting risk premiumDetection of structural breaks in a time-varying heteroskedastic regression modelDoes a lot help a lot? Forecasting stock returns with pooling strategies in a data‐rich environmentEstimating the term structure of commodity market preferencesA reexamination of stock return predictabilityThe Bierens test for certain nonstationary modelsBoosting high dimensional predictive regressions with time varying parametersThe learning premiumPortfolio Choice and Estimation Risk. A Comparison of Bayesian to Heuristic ApproachesPredictive quantile regressions under persistence and conditional heteroskedasticityHomogeneous vs. heterogeneous transition functions in panel smooth transition regressionsTesting for episodic predictability in stock returns




This page was built for publication: Predicting the Equity Premium with Dividend Ratios