Testing the constancy of Spearman's rho in multivariate time series

DOI10.1007/S10463-015-0520-2zbMATH Open1400.62184arXiv1407.1624OpenAlexW1979977159MaRDI QIDQ314566FDOQ314566

Authors: Jean-François Quessy, Tom Rohmer, Ivan Kojadinovic 

Publication date: 16 September 2016

Published in: Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: A class of tests for change-point detection designed to be particularly sensitive to changes in the cross-sectional rank correlation of multivariate time series is proposed. The derived procedures are based on several multivariate extensions of Spearman's rho. Two approaches to carry out the tests are studied: the first one is based on resampling, the second one consists of estimating the asymptotic null distribution. The asymptotic validity of both techniques is proved under the null for strongly mixing observations. A procedure for estimating a key bandwidth parameter involved in both approaches is proposed, making the derived tests parameter-free. Their finite-sample behavior is investigated through Monte Carlo experiments. Practical recommendations are made and an illustration on trivariate financial data is finally presented.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1407.1624

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zbMATH Keywords

rankschange-point detectionempirical copulastrong mixingSpearman's rhoHAC kernel variance estimatormultiplier central limit theoremspartial-sum processes

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Nonparametric hypothesis testing (62G10) Asymptotic properties of nonparametric inference (62G20) Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH) (62M10) Measures of association (correlation, canonical correlation, etc.) (62H20) Applications of statistics to actuarial sciences and financial mathematics (62P05) Central limit and other weak theorems (60F05)

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Cited In (8)

• A modified Spearman’s rho parameter-free test statistic for early detection of newly emerging phenomena
• A fluctuation test for constant Spearman's rho with nuisance-free limit distribution
• Detecting breaks in the dependence of multivariate extreme-value distributions
• Consistent Estimation of Multiple Breakpoints in Dependence Measures
• Gradual change-point analysis based on Spearman matrices for multivariate time series
• Tests for scale changes based on pairwise differences
• Testing for changes in Kendall's tau
• Testing and dating structural changes in copula-based dependence measures

Uses Software

• R
• copula
• npcp
• copula

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