Fluctuations of the front in a one-dimensional model for the spread of an infection

DOI10.1214/15-AOP1034zbMATH Open1356.60160arXiv1210.6781OpenAlexW3105502433MaRDI QIDQ317485FDOQ317485

Alejandro F. Ramírez, Jean Bérard

Publication date: 30 September 2016

Published in: The Annals of Probability (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: We study the following microscopic model of infection or epidemic reaction: red and blue particles perform independent nearest-neighbor continuous-time symmetric random walks on the integer lattice $mathbbZ$ with jump rates $D_R$ for red particles and $D_B$ for blue particles, the interaction rule being that blue particles turn red upon contact with a red particle. The initial condition consists of i.i.d. Poisson particle numbers at each site, with particles at the left of the origin being red, while particles at the right of the origin are blue. We are interested in the dynamics of the front, defined as the rightmost position of a red particle. For the case $D_R=D_B$, Kesten and Sidoravicius established that the front moves ballistically, and more precisely that it satisfies a law of large numbers. Their proof is based on a multi-scale renormalization technique, combined with approximate sub-additivity arguments. In this paper, we build a renewal structure for the front propagation process, and as a corollary we obtain a central limit theorem for the front when $D_R=D_B$. Moreover, this result can be extended to the case where $D_R>D_B$, up to modifying the dynamics so that blue particles turn red upon contact with a site that has previously been occupied by a red particle. Our approach extends the renewal structure approach developed by Comets, Quastel and Ram'{{i}}rez for the so-called frog model, which corresponds to the $D_B=0$ case.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1210.6781

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zbMATH Keywords

Poisson processinteracting particle systemsSkorokhod space[https://portal.mardi4nfdi.de/w/index.php?title=+Special%3ASearch&search=c%EF%BF%BD%EF%BF%BDdl%EF%BF%BD%EF%BF%BDg+martingale&go=Go c��dl��g martingale]front propagationregeneration timesremanent KS infection modelrenewal structuresingle-rate KS infection

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Point processes (e.g., Poisson, Cox, Hawkes processes) (60G55) Interacting random processes; statistical mechanics type models; percolation theory (60K35) Functional limit theorems; invariance principles (60F17) Renewal theory (60K05)

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Cited In (8)

• Random walk on random walks: higher dimensions
• Criticality of a randomly-driven front
• Linear and superlinear spread for stochastic combustion growth process
• On a one-dimensional model of infection spreading
• Random walks on dynamical random environments with nonuniform mixing
• Rough infection fronts in a random medium
• Random walk on the simple symmetric exclusion process
• A shape theorem for the spread of an infection

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