The stability of survival model parameter estimates for predicting the probability of default: empirical evidence over the credit crisis

DOI10.1016/J.EJOR.2014.09.005MaRDI QIDQ320972zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Mindy Leow, Jonathan Crook

Publication date 7 October 2016

Published in European Journal of Operational Research (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://www.pure.ed.ac.uk/ws/files/15399418/The_Stability_of_Survival_Model_Parameter_Estimates_for_Predicting_the_Probability_of_Default.pdf

zbMATH Keywords

forecastingstructural changerobustness and sensitivity analysismacroeconomic variablesprobability forecasting

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Applications of statistics to actuarial sciences and financial mathematics (62P05) Statistical methods; risk measures (91G70) Credit risk (91G40)

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Cites work

• Credit scoring with macroeconomic variables using survival analysis
• Not if but when will borrowers default
• Regression with Social Data
• Survival Analysis Methods for Personal Loan Data
• Tests of Equality Between Sets of Coefficients in Two Linear Regressions

Cited in

(11)

• A zero-inflated non default rate regression model for credit scoring data
• Joint models of multivariate longitudinal outcomes and discrete survival data with INLA: an application to credit repayment behaviour
• Predicting online invitation responses with a competing risk model using privacy-friendly social event data
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 6951485 (Why is no real title available?)
• Default probability estimation via pair copula constructions
• Incorporating heterogeneity and macroeconomic variables into multi-state delinquency models for credit cards
• Joint models for longitudinal and discrete survival data in credit scoring
• Dynamic survival models with varying coefficients for credit risks.
• Identifying hidden patterns in credit risk survival data using generalised additive models
• Benchmarking forecast approaches for mortgage credit risk for forward periods
• Spatial contagion in mortgage defaults: a spatial dynamic survival model with time and space varying coefficients

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