Two-sex mosquito model for the persistence of \textit{Wolbachia}

DOI10.1080/17513758.2016.1229051zbMATH Open1447.92493arXiv1509.07775OpenAlexW2244225777WikidataQ39609477 ScholiaQ39609477MaRDI QIDQ3300919FDOQ3300919

Authors: Ling Xue, Panpim Thongsripong, Carrie A. Manore, J. M. Hyman 

Publication date: 31 July 2020

Published in: Journal of Biological Dynamics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: Wolbachia is a genus of endosymbiotic bacteria that can infect mosquitoes and reduce their ability to transmit dengue virus. Although the bacterium is transmitted vertically from infected mothers to their offspring, it can be difficult to establish an endemic infection in a wild mosquito population. We developed and analyzed an ordinary differential equation model to investigate the transmission dynamics of releasing Wolbachia-infected mosquitoes to establish an endemic infection in a population of wild uninfected mosquitoes. Our transmission model for the adult and aquatic-stage mosquitoes takes into account Wolbachia-induced fitness change and cytoplasmic incompatibility. We showed that, for a wide range of realistic parameter values, the basic reproduction number is less than one. Hence, the epidemic will die out if only a few Wolbachia-infected mosquitoes are introduced into the wild population. Even though the basic reproduction number is less than one, an endemic Wolbachia infection can be established if a sufficient number of infected mosquitoes are released. This threshold effect is created by a backward bifurcation with three coexisting equilibria: a stable zero-infection equilibrium, an intermediate-infection unstable endemic equilibrium, and a high-infection stable endemic equilibrium. We analyzed the impact of reducing the wild mosquito population before introducing the infected mosquitoes and observed that the most effective approach to establish the infection in the wild is based on reducing mosquitoes in both the adult and aquatic stages.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1509.07775

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zbMATH Keywords

basic reproduction numberbackward bifurcationdengue feverthreshold conditionvertical transmissioncytoplasmic incompatibilitychikungunyaZika

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Stability of solutions to ordinary differential equations (34D20)

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Cited In (29)

• Characterization of \textit{Wolbachia} enhancing domain in mosquitoes with imperfect maternal transmission
• Comparing the long-term persistence of different \textit{Wolbachia} strains after the release of bacteria-carrying mosquitoes
• Releasing Wolbachia-infected mosquitos to mitigate the transmission of Zika virus
• The threshold infection level for Wolbachia invasion in a two-sex mosquito population model
• A periodic delay differential system for mosquito control with \textit{Wolbachia} incompatible insect technique
• \textit{Wolbachia} spread dynamics in multi-regimes of environmental conditions
• Revisiting totally positive differential systems: a tutorial and new results
• The impact of predators of mosquito larvae on Wolbachia spreading dynamics
• Modeling the transmission of \textit{Wolbachia} in mosquitoes for controlling mosquito-borne diseases
• Optimal release programs for dengue prevention using \textit{Aedes aegypti} mosquitoes transinfected with \textit{wMel} or \textit{wMelPop Wolbachia} strains
• Application of Caputo-Fabrizio operator to suppress the Aedes Aegypti mosquitoes via Wolbachia: an LMI approach
• Transmission dynamics of multi-strain dengue virus with cross-immunity
• \textit{Wolbachia} infection dynamics in mosquito population with the CI effect suffering by uninfected ova produced by infected females
• A feedback control perspective on biological control of dengue vectors by \textit{Wolbachia} infection
• Bifurcation analysis of multiscale malaria model with Serratia AS1 bacteria and saturated treatment
• Establishing \textit{Wolbachia} in the wild mosquito population: the effects of wind and critical patch size
• \textit{Wolbachia} dynamics in mosquitoes with incomplete CI and imperfect maternal transmission by a DDE system
• Modelling \textit{Wolbachia} infection in a sex-structured mosquito population carrying West Nile virus
• Infection persistence time of Aedes breeding habitats
• A mosquito population suppression model by releasing \textit{Wolbachia}-infected males
• Optimal control for dengue transmission based on a model with reinfection and treatment
• A logistic two-sex model with mate-finding Allee effect
• Modeling the dynamics of \textit{Wolbachia}-infected and uninfected \textit{Aedes aegypti} populations by delay differential equations
• Generating a hierarchy of reduced models for a system of differential equations modeling the spread of Wolbachia in mosquitoes
• Optimal control of dengue vector based on a reaction-diffusion model
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• Quantifying the survival uncertainty of Wolbachia-infected mosquitoes in a spatial model

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