On using extreme values to detect global stability thresholds in multi-stable systems: the case of transitional plane Couette flow

DOI10.1016/J.CHAOS.2014.01.008MaRDI QIDQ336149zbMATHOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors Davide Faranda, Valerio Lucarini, Paul Manneville, Jeroen Wouters

Publication date 10 November 2016

Published in Chaos, Solitons and Fractals (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/1211.0510

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Stability theory for smooth dynamical systems (37C75) Simulation of dynamical systems (37M05) Shear flows and turbulence (76F10)

Abstract: Extreme Value Theory (EVT) is exploited to determine the global stability threshold $R_g$ of plane Couette flow --the flow of a viscous fluid in the space between two parallel plates-- whose laminar or turbulent behavior depends on the Reynolds number R. Even if the existence of a global stability threshold has been detected in simulations and experiments, its numerical value has not been unequivocally defined. $R_g$ is the value such that for $R>R_g$ turbulence is sustained, whereas for $R<R_g$ it is transient and eventually decays. We address the problem of determining $R_g$ by using the extremes - maxima and minima - of the perturbation energy fluctuations. When $R_g$, both the positive and negative extremes are bounded. As the critical Reynolds number is approached from above, the probability of observing a very low minimum increases causing asymmetries in the distributions of maxima and minima. On the other hand, the maxima distribution is unaffected as the fluctuations towards higher values of the perturbation energy remain bounded. This tipping point can be detected by fitting the data to the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution and by identifying $R_g$ as the value of $R$ such that the shape parameter of the GEV for the minima changes sign from negative to positive. The results are supported by the analysis of theoretical models which feature a bistable behavior.

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Cited in

(9)

• Resonances in a chaotic attractor crisis of the Lorenz flow
• Towards a general theory of extremes for observables of chaotic dynamical systems
• A probabilistic protocol for the assessment of transition and control
• On the computation of the extremal index for time series
• An efficient algorithm to estimate the potential barrier height from noise-induced escape time data
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• Early warnings indicators of financial crises via auto regressive moving average models
• Edge states in the climate system: exploring global instabilities and critical transitions
• On the transition to turbulence of wall-bounded flows in general, and plane Couette flow in particular

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Uses Software

• channelflow
• ismev

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