Large-deviation properties of resilience of power grids

DOI10.1088/1367-2630/17/1/015005zbMATH Open1452.91227arXiv1411.5233OpenAlexW3106290740MaRDI QIDQ3387614FDOQ3387614

Authors: Timo Dewenter, Alexander Hartmann 

Publication date: 13 January 2021

Published in: New Journal of Physics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: We study the distributions of the resilience of power flow models against transmission line failures via a so-called backup capacity. We consider three ensembles of random networks and in addition, the topology of the British transmission power grid. The three ensembles are ErdH{o}s-R'enyi random graphs, ErdH{o}s-R'enyi random graphs with a fixed number of links, and spatial networks where the nodes are embedded in a two dimensional plane. We investigate numerically the probability density functions (pdfs) down to the tails to gain insight in very resilient and very vulnerable networks. This is achieved via large-deviation techniques which allow us to study very rare values which occur with probability densities below $10^{-160}$. We find that the right tail of the pdfs towards larger backup capacities follows an exponential with a strong curvature. This is confirmed by the rate function which approaches a limiting curve for increasing network sizes. Very resilient networks are basically characterized by a small diameter and a large power sign ratio. In addition, networks can be made typically more resilient by adding more links.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1411.5233

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zbMATH Keywords

complex networkspower gridslarge-deviation approach

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Economic models of real-world systems (e.g., electricity markets, etc.) (91B74)

Cites Work

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Cited In (7)

• Generalized entropy plane based on large deviations theory for financial time series
• A steady-state analysis of distribution networks by diffusion-limited-aggregation and multifractal geometry
• Large-deviation properties of SIR model incorporating protective measures
• TOPOLOGICAL VULNERABILITY OF THE EUROPEAN POWER GRID UNDER ERRORS AND ATTACKS
• Large deviation and anomalous fluctuations scaling in degree assortativity on configuration networks
• Efficient large deviation estimation based on importance sampling
• The Kuramoto model in complex networks

Uses Software

• GSL

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