Global threshold dynamics of a stochastic differential equation SIS model

DOI10.1016/J.JMAA.2016.10.041MaRDI QIDQ342901zbMATHOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors Chuang Xu

Publication date 18 November 2016

Published in Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/1506.02342

zbMATH Keywords

stochastic differential equationbasic reproduction numberFokker-Planck equationinvariant densitySIS epidemic modelglobal threshold dynamics

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Stochastic partial differential equations (aspects of stochastic analysis) (60H15) PDEs in connection with statistical mechanics (35Q82)

Abstract: In this paper, we further investigate the global dynamics of a stochastic differential equation SIS (Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible) epidemic model recently proposed in [A. Gray et al., SIAM. J. Appl. Math., 71 (2011), 876-902]. We present a stochastic threshold theorem in term of a extit{stochastic basic reproduction number} $R_0^S:$ the disease dies out with probability one if $R_0^S<1,$ and the disease is recurrent if $R_0^{S}geqslant1.$ We prove the existence and global asymptotic stability of a unique invariant density for the Fokker-Planck equation associated with the SDE SIS model when $R_0^S>1.$ In term of the profile of the invariant density, we define a extit{persistence basic reproduction number} $R_0^P$ and give a persistence threshold theorem: the disease dies out with large probability if $R_0^{P}leqslant1,$ while persists with large probability if $R_0^P>1.$ Comparing the extit{stochastic disease prevalence} with the extit{deterministic disease prevalence}, we discover that the stochastic prevalence is bigger than the deterministic prevalence if the deterministic basic reproduction number $R_0^D>2.$ This shows that noise may increase severity of disease. Finally, we study the asymptotic dynamics of the stochastic SIS model as the noise vanishes and establish a sharp connection with the threshold dynamics of the deterministic SIS model in term of a extit{Limit Stochastic Threshold Theorem}.

Recommendations

• Threshold behavior in a stochastic SIS epidemic model with standard incidence
• The global dynamics for a stochastic SIS epidemic model with isolation
• Threshold behaviour of a stochastic SIR model
• Global threshold dynamics of a stochastic epidemic model incorporating media coverage
• Threshold dynamics in a stochastic SIRS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate

Cites work

• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 5836214 (Why is no real title available?)
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3862999 (Why is no real title available?)
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1324225 (Why is no real title available?)
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3339874 (Why is no real title available?)
• A Stochastic Differential Equation SIS Epidemic Model
• A stochastic model of AIDS and condom use
• Chaos, fractals, and noise: Stochastic aspects of dynamics.
• Diffusion Processes in One Dimension
• Ergodicity of randomly perturbed Lorenz model
• Long-time behaviour of a perturbed SIR model by white noise
• Lyapunov exponent of a stochastic SIRS model
• Noise-induced global asymptotic stability.
• On the definition and the computation of the basic reproduction ratio \(R_ 0\) in models for infectious diseases in heterogeneous populations
• Reproduction numbers and sub-threshold endemic equilibria for compartmental models of disease transmission

Cited in

(25)

• A stochastic differential equation SIS epidemic model incorporating Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process
• The bifurcation analysis of an SIRS epidemic model with immunity age and constant treatment
• The dynamics of a stochastic SIR epidemic model with nonlinear incidence and vertical transmission
• A note about the invariance of the basic reproduction number for stochastically perturbed SIS models
• A stochastic SIRS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate
• Permanence and extinction of a stochastic SIS epidemic model with three independent Brownian motions
• The Higher Moments Dynamic on SIS Model
• A note on the stationary distribution of stochastic SIS epidemic model with vaccination under regime switching
• Periodic solution of a stochastic SIQR epidemic model incorporating media coverage
• Dynamical analysis of a stochastic SIS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate and double epidemic hypothesis
• A stochastic \textit{feline} immunodeficiency virus model with vertical transmission
• Threshold behavior of a stochastic SIS model with Lévy jumps
• Analysis of an epidemiological model driven by multiple noises: ergodicity and convergence rate
• Optimal harvesting policy of logistic population model in a randomly fluctuating environment
• Global threshold dynamics of a stochastic epidemic model incorporating media coverage
• A stochastic SIS epidemic infectious diseases model with double stochastic perturbations
• Dynamics of a stochastic SIR model with both horizontal and vertical transmission
• GLOBAL DYNAMICS OF A DIFFERENTIAL SUSCEPTIBILITY MODEL
• A stochastic SIR epidemic evolution model with non-concave force of infection: mathematical modeling and analysis
• Deterministic and stochastic study for an infected computer network model powered by a system of antivirus programs
• Periodic solution and ergodic stationary distribution of two stochastic SIQS epidemic systems
• Threshold dynamics of a stochastic \(S I R\) model with vertical transmission and vaccination
• On a new method for the stochastic perturbation of the disease transmission coefficient in SIS models
• Dynamical behavior of stochastic SIRS model with two different incidence rates and Markovian switching
• Persistence and extinction of a stochastic SIS epidemic model with regime switching and Lévy jumps

This page was built for publication: Global threshold dynamics of a stochastic differential equation SIS model

Report a bug (only for logged in users!)Click here to report a bug for this page (MaRDI item Q342901)