Model-based longitudinal clustering with varying cluster assignments

DOI10.5705/SS.2014.205zbMATH Open1419.62157arXiv2005.08267OpenAlexW2594588300MaRDI QIDQ3465102FDOQ3465102

Authors: Daniel K. Sewell, Yuguo Chen, William Bernhard, Tracy Sulkin 

Publication date: 28 January 2016

Published in: STATISTICA SINICA (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: It is often of interest to perform clustering on longitudinal data, yet it is difficult to formulate an intuitive model for which estimation is computationally feasible. We propose a model-based clustering method for clustering objects that are observed over time. The proposed model can be viewed as an extension of the normal mixture model for clustering to longitudinal data. While existing models only account for clustering effects, we propose modeling the distribution of the observed values of each object as a blending of a cluster effect and an individual effect, hence also giving an estimate of how much the behavior of an object is determined by the cluster to which it belongs. Further, it is important to detect how explanatory variables affect the clustering. An advantage of our method is that it can handle multiple explanatory variables of any type through a linear modeling of the cluster transition probabilities. We implement the generalized EM algorithm using several recursive relationships to greatly decrease the computational cost. The accuracy of our estimation method is illustrated in a simulation study, and U.S. Congressional data is analyzed.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/2005.08267

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zbMATH Keywords

cluster analysisEM algorithmtime seriesmultinomial logistic regressionnormal mixture models

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Point estimation (62F10) Classification and discrimination; cluster analysis (statistical aspects) (62H30) Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH) (62M10) Generalized linear models (logistic models) (62J12)

Cited In (19)

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• Model-Based Clustering of High-Dimensional Longitudinal Data via Regularization
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• Clustering of longitudinal interval-valued data via mixture distribution under covariance separability
• A Bayesian nonparametric latent space approach to modeling evolving communities in dynamic networks
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• Identifying latent clusters of variability in longitudinal data

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