On the conditional distributions of low-dimensional projections from high-dimensional data

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Abstract: We study the conditional distribution of low-dimensional projections from high-dimensional data, where the conditioning is on other low-dimensional projections. To fix ideas, consider a random d-vector Z that has a Lebesgue density and that is standardized so that mathbbEZ=0 and mathbbEZZ=Id. Moreover, consider two projections defined by unit-vectors alpha and , namely a response y=alphaZ and an explanatory variable . It has long been known that the conditional mean of y given x is approximately linear in xundersomeregularityconditions;cf.HallandLi[Ann.Statist.21(1993)867889].However,acorrespondingresultfortheconditionalvariancehasnotbeenavailablesofar.Wehereshowthattheconditionalvarianceofygivenxisapproximatelyconstantinx(again,undersomeregularityconditions).Theseresultsholduniformlyinalphaandformost�eta$'s, provided only that the dimension of Z is large. In that sense, we see that most linear submodels of a high-dimensional overall model are approximately correct. Our findings provide new insights in a variety of modeling scenarios. We discuss several examples, including sliced inverse regression, sliced average variance estimation, generalized linear models under potential link violation, and sparse linear modeling.









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