Sequential Detection of Markov Targets With Trajectory Estimation

DOI10.1109/TIT.2008.928261MaRDI QIDQ3604812zbMATH OpenFDO

Authors Marco Lops, E. Grossi

Publication date 24 February 2009

Published in IEEE Transactions on Information Theory (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/0805.3638, http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/xpls/abs_all.jsp?isnumber=4608952&arnumber=4608968&count=49&index=17

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Nonparametric robustness (62G35) Sequential estimation (62L12) Markov processes: estimation; hidden Markov models (62M05) Detection theory in information and communication theory (94A13)

Abstract: The problem of detection and possible estimation of a signal generated by a dynamic system when a variable number of noisy measurements can be taken is here considered. Assuming a Markov evolution of the system (in particular, the pair signal-observation forms a hidden Markov model), a sequential procedure is proposed, wherein the detection part is a sequential probability ratio test (SPRT) and the estimation part relies upon a maximum-a-posteriori (MAP) criterion, gated by the detection stage (the parameter to be estimated is the trajectory of the state evolution of the system itself). A thorough analysis of the asymptotic behaviour of the test in this new scenario is given, and sufficient conditions for its asymptotic optimality are stated, i.e. for almost sure minimization of the stopping time and for (first-order) minimization of any moment of its distribution. An application to radar surveillance problems is also examined.

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