Counterparty risk for credit default swaps: impact of spread volatility and default correlation

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Publication:3655554

DOI10.1142/S0219024909005567zbMATH Open1187.91206arXiv1204.2090OpenAlexW3124950891MaRDI QIDQ3655554FDOQ3655554

Kyriakos Chourdakis, Damiano Brigo

Publication date: 8 January 2010

Published in: International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: This paper deals with dependence across marginally exponentially distributed arrival times, such as default times in financial modeling or inter-failure times in reliability theory. We explore the relationship between dependence and the possibility to sample final multivariate survival in a long time-interval as a sequence of iterations of local multivariate survivals along a partition of the total time interval. We find that this is possible under a form of multivariate lack of memory that is linked to a property of the survival times copula. This property defines a "self-chaining-copula", and we show that this coincides with the extreme value copulas characterization. The self-chaining condition is satisfied by the Gumbel-Hougaard copula, a full characterization of self chaining copulas in the Archimedean family, and by the Marshall-Olkin copula. The result has important practical implications for consistent single-step and multi-step simulation of multivariate arrival times in a way that does not destroy dependency through iterations, as happens when inconsistently iterating a Gaussian copula.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1204.2090




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