Probability of a disease outbreak in stochastic multipatch epidemic models

DOI10.1007/S11538-013-9848-ZzbMATH Open1272.92049OpenAlexW2057166175WikidataQ42263371 ScholiaQ42263371MaRDI QIDQ372008FDOQ372008

Authors: Glenn E. jun. Lahodny, Linda J. S. Allen 

Publication date: 11 October 2013

Published in: Bulletin of Mathematical Biology (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11538-013-9848-z

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zbMATH Keywords

multitype branching processMarkov chainsinfectious diseasesmultiple patches

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Applications of Markov chains and discrete-time Markov processes on general state spaces (social mobility, learning theory, industrial processes, etc.) (60J20) Epidemiology (92D30) Qualitative investigation and simulation of ordinary differential equation models (34C60) Applications of branching processes (60J85) Ecology (92D40)

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Cited In (42)

• The effect of demographic stochasticity on Zika virus transmission dynamics: probability of disease extinction, sensitivity analysis, and mean first passage time
• Impact of demographic variability on the disease dynamics for honeybee model
• Disease outbreaks in plant-vector-virus models with vector aggregation and dispersal
• A comparison of deterministic and stochastic plant-vector-virus models based on probability of disease extinction and outbreak
• Vector-host epidemic model with direct transmission in random environment
• Correlations between stochastic endemic infection in multiple interacting subpopulations
• The asymptotic behavior of a stochastic vaccination model with backward bifurcation
• Discrete stochastic metapopulation model with arbitrarily distributed infectious period
• Spatial Structure: Patch Models
• The significance of stochastic CTMC over deterministic model in understanding the dynamics of lymphatic filariasis with asymptomatic carriers
• A continuous time Markov chain model for the dynamics of bovine tuberculosis in humans and cattle
• Probability of disease extinction and outbreak in a stochastic tuberculosis model with fast-slow progression and relapse
• A branching model for the spread of infectious animal diseases in varying environments
• Network-level reproduction number and extinction threshold for vector-borne diseases
• A stochastic tick-borne disease model: exploring the probability of pathogen persistence
• Stochastic asymptotic analysis of a multi-host model with vector transmission
• Threshold behavior in a class of stochastic SIRS epidemic models with nonlinear incidence
• A stochastic epidemic model for the dynamics of two pathogens in a single tick population
• A stochastic model of contagion with different individual types
• A stochastic model of antibiotic misuse, economy, and drug resistance: relating mutant extinction probability to socioeconomic and epidemiological factors
• Heterogeneous population dynamics and scaling laws near epidemic outbreaks
• Disease emergence in multi-patch stochastic epidemic models with demographic and seasonal variability
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• Multi-patch deterministic and stochastic models for wildlife diseases
• An epidemic model with time-distributed recovery and death rates
• Quarantine in a multi-species epidemic model with spatial dynamics
• A stochastic multi-host model for West Nile virus transmission
• Infectious disease in the workplace: quantifying uncertainty in transmission
• Spatial heterogeneity in simple deterministic SIR models assessed ecologically
• The evolutionary dynamics of stochastic epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate
• A stochastic model of fowl pox disease: estimating the probability of disease outbreak
• Stochastic analysis of in-host HCV dynamics through budding and bursting process
• Determining the effects of wind-aided midge movement on the outbreak and coexistence of multiple bluetongue virus serotypes in patchy environments
• EXTINCTION THRESHOLD IN A STOCHASTIC EPIDEMIC MODEL FOR ROTAVIRUS DYNAMICS WITH CONTAMINATED ENVIRONMENT
• Stochastic SIS metapopulation models for the spread of disease among species in a fragmented landscape
• Title not available (Why is that?)
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• The probability of extinction of infectious salmon anemia virus in one and two patches
• Local approximation of Markov chains in time and space
• Effect of movement on the early phase of an epidemic
• The distribution of the time taken for an epidemic to spread between two communities
• Outbreak or extinction of bovine cysticercosis and human taeniasis: a stochastic modelling approach

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