A tricentenary history of the law of large numbers

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Publication:373519

DOI10.3150/12-BEJSP12zbMATH Open1277.60005arXiv1309.6488OpenAlexW2012382622WikidataQ55894457 ScholiaQ55894457MaRDI QIDQ373519FDOQ373519


Authors: Eugene Seneta Edit this on Wikidata


Publication date: 17 October 2013

Published in: Bernoulli (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: The Weak Law of Large Numbers is traced chronologically from its inception as Jacob Bernoulli's Theorem in 1713, through De Moivre's Theorem, to ultimate forms due to Uspensky and Khinchin in the 1930s, and beyond. Both aspects of Jacob Bernoulli's Theorem: 1. As limit theorem (sample size noinfty), and: 2. Determining sufficiently large sample size for specified precision, for known and also unknown p (the inversion problem), are studied, in frequentist and Bayesian settings. The Bienaym'{e}-Chebyshev Inequality is shown to be a meeting point of the French and Russian directions in the history. Particular emphasis is given to less well-known aspects especially of the Russian direction, with the work of Chebyshev, Markov (the organizer of Bicentennial celebrations), and S.N. Bernstein as focal points.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1309.6488




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