Estimation of the instantaneous volatility

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Publication:411549




Abstract: This paper is concerned with the estimation of the volatility process in a stochastic volatility model of the following form: dXt=atdt+sigmatdWt, where X denotes the log-price and sigma is a c`adl`ag semi-martingale. In the spirit of a series of recent works on the estimation of the cumulated volatility, we here focus on the instantaneous volatility for which we study estimators built as finite differences of the extit{power variations} of the log-price. We provide central limit theorems with an optimal rate depending on the local behavior of sigma. In particular, these theorems yield some confidence intervals for sigmat.




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