Existence, multiplicity and stability of endemic states for an age-structured S-I epidemic model

DOI10.1016/J.MBS.2011.10.004zbMATH Open1241.92062arXiv0806.3424OpenAlexW2962950566WikidataQ51499784 ScholiaQ51499784MaRDI QIDQ433666FDOQ433666

D. Visetti, D. Breda

Publication date: 5 July 2012

Published in: Mathematical Biosciences (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: We study an S--I type epidemic model in an age-structured population, with mortality due to the disease. A threshold quantity is found that controls the stability of the disease-free equilibrium and guarantees the existence of an endemic equilibrium. We obtain conditions on the age-dependence of the susceptibility to infection that imply the uniqueness of the endemic equilibrium. An example with two endemic equilibria is shown. Finally, we analyse numerically how the stability of the endemic equilibrium is affected by extra-mortality and by the possible periodicities induced by the demographic age-structure.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/0806.3424

zbMATH Keywords

Hopf bifurcationsage-structuremultiple endemic states

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Probabilistic models, generic numerical methods in probability and statistics (65C20) Stability in context of PDEs (35B35) PDEs in connection with biology, chemistry and other natural sciences (35Q92)

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Cited In (6)

• Multi-strain persistence induced by host age structure
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Existence and uniqueness of endemic states for the age-structured S-I-R epidemic model
• Endemic threshold results for an age-structured SIS epidemic model with periodic parameters
• The effect of age-dependent host mortality on the dynamics of an endemic disease
• Pattern formation of an epidemic model with time delay

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