Strong chaos without the butterfly effect in dynamical systems with feedback

DOI10.1088/0305-4470/29/10/009MaRDI QIDQ4389935zbMATHOpenAlexFDO

Authors Guido Boffetta, Giovanni Paladin, Angelo Vulpiani

Publication date 11 October 1998

Published in Journal of Physics A: Mathematical and General (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/chao-dyn/9502017

zbMATH Keywords

chaotic systemspredictabilitypositive Lyapunov exponent

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Strange attractors, chaotic dynamics of systems with hyperbolic behavior (37D45)

Abstract: We discuss the predictability of a conservative system that drives a chaotic system with positive maximum Lyapunov exponent $lambd{a}_0$, such as the erratic motion of an asteroid in the gravitational field of two bodies of much larger mass. We consider the case where in absence of feedback (restricted model), the driving system is regular and completely predictable. A small feedback of strength $epsilon$ still allows a good forecasting in the driving system up to a very long time $T_{p}simepsilo{n}^{-alpha}$, where $alpha$ depends on the details of the system. The most interesting situation happens when the Lyapunov exponent of the total system is strongly chaotic with $lambd{a}_{tot}approxlambd{a}_0$ , practically independent of $epsilon$. Therefore an exponential amplification of a small incertitude on the initial conditions in the driving system for any $epsiloneq0$ coexists with very long predictability times. The paradox stems from saturation effects in the evolution for the growth of the incertitude as illustrated in a simple model of coupled maps and in a system of three point vortices in a disk.

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(2)

• Slow and fast dynamics in coupled systems: a time series analysis view
• Predictability: a way to characterize complexity

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