T-optimal designs for discrimination between two polynomial models

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Publication:450028

DOI10.1214/11-AOS956zbMATH Open1246.62176arXiv1205.6283OpenAlexW2008158827MaRDI QIDQ450028FDOQ450028


Authors: Holger Dette, Viatcheslav B. Melas, Petr Shpilev Edit this on Wikidata


Publication date: 3 September 2012

Published in: The Annals of Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: This paper is devoted to the explicit construction of optimal designs for discrimination between two polynomial regression models of degree n2 and n. In a fundamental paper, Atkinson and Fedorov [Biometrika 62 (1975a) 57--70] proposed the T-optimality criterion for this purpose. Recently, Atkinson [MODA 9, Advances in Model-Oriented Design and Analysis (2010) 9--16] determined T-optimal designs for polynomials up to degree 6 numerically and based on these results he conjectured that the support points of the optimal design are cosines of the angles that divide half of the circle into equal parts if the coefficient of xn1 in the polynomial of larger degree vanishes. In the present paper we give a strong justification of the conjecture and determine all T-optimal designs explicitly for any degree ninmathbbN. In particular, we show that there exists a one-dimensional class of T-optimal designs. Moreover, we also present a generalization to the case when the ratio between the coefficients of xn1 and xn is smaller than a certain critical value. Because of the complexity of the optimization problem, T-optimal designs have only been determined numerically so far, and this paper provides the first explicit solution of the T-optimal design problem since its introduction by Atkinson and Fedorov [Biometrika 62 (1975a) 57--70]. Finally, for the remaining cases (where the ratio of coefficients is larger than the critical value), we propose a numerical procedure to calculate the T-optimal designs. The results are also illustrated in an example.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1205.6283




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