AN EMPIRICAL INVESTIGATION OF THE FORWARD INTEREST RATE TERM STRUCTURE
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Publication:4528084
DOI10.1142/S0219024900000838zbMATH Open1071.91512arXivcond-mat/9907297MaRDI QIDQ4528084FDOQ4528084
A. Matacz, Jean-Philippe Bouchaud
Publication date: 2000
Published in: International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (Search for Journal in Brave)
Abstract: In this paper we study empirically the Forward Rate Curve (FRC) of 5 different currencies. We confirm and extend the findings of our previous investigation of the U.S. Forward Rate Curve. In particular, the average FRC follows a square-root law, with a prefactor related to the spot volatility, suggesting a Value-at-Risk like pricing. We find a striking correlation between the instantaneous FRC and the past spot trend over a certain time horizon, in agreement with the idea of an extrapolated trend effect. We present a model which can be adequately calibrated to account for these effects.
Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/cond-mat/9907297
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- A Quantum Field Theory Term Structure Model Applied to Hedging
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