LAG Length Selection and the Construction of Unit Root Tests with Good Size and Power

From MaRDI portal
Publication:4531042

DOI10.1111/1468-0262.00256zbMath1056.62529OpenAlexW2169107902MaRDI QIDQ4531042

Pierre Perron, Serena Ng

Publication date: 28 May 2002

Published in: Econometrica (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: http://fmwww.bc.edu/EC-P/wp369.pdf




Related Items

ON AUGMENTED HEGY TESTS FOR SEASONAL UNIT ROOTSA Strongly Consistent Criterion to Decide Between I(1) and I(0) Processes Based on Different Convergence RatesUNIT ROOT TESTING IN PRACTICE: DEALING WITH UNCERTAINTY OVER THE TREND AND INITIAL CONDITIONREJOINDERA Panel Unit Root Test with Good Power in Small SamplesCross-sectional correlation robust tests for panel cointegrationTesting for a Unit Root in a Near-Integrated Model with Skip-Sampled DataStructural Break Inference Using Information Criteria in Models Estimated by Two‐Stage Least SquaresLag Length Selection for Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Nonstationary VolatilityDetrending Bootstrap Unit Root TestsUnit Roots, Level Shifts, and Trend Breaks in Per Capita Output: A Robust EvaluationThe sensitivity of unit root tests to the initial condition and to the lag length selection: A Monte Carlo Simulation StudyA note on change in persistence of U.S. city pricesConsumption, aggregate wealth and expected stock returns: a quantile cointegration approachA family of nonparametric unit root tests for processes driven by infinite variance innovationsA unified unit root test regardless of interceptLatent local-to-unity modelsImproved tests for stock return predictabilityConstructing Optimal tests on a Lagged dependent variableThe distribution of rolling regression estimatorsBootstrap Sequential Tests to Determine the Order of Integration of Individual Units in A Time Series PanelSmooth structural changes and common factors in nonstationary panel data: an analysis of healthcare expendituresJohansen‐type cointegration tests with a Fourier functionLikelihood ratio test for change in persistenceBounded unit root processes with non-stationary volatilitySemi-parametric single-index predictive regression models with cointegrated regressorsCharacterizing correlation matrices that admit a clustered factor representationLag order selection for an optimal autoregressive covariance matrix estimatorA sequential procedure for testing the existence of a random walk model in finite samplesBootstrap procedures for detecting multiple persistence shifts in heteroskedastic time seriesBOOTSTRAP-ASSISTED UNIT ROOT TESTING WITH PIECEWISE LOCALLY STATIONARY ERRORSAUTOMATIC INFERENCE FOR INFINITE ORDER VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIONSCOVARIANCE-BASED ORTHOGONALITY TESTS FOR REGRESSORS WITH UNKNOWN PERSISTENCEConsistent estimation and order selection for nonstationary autoregressive processes with stable innovationsTesting for a unit root under errors with just barely infinite varianceSPECIAL ISSUE OF ECONOMETRIC THEORY IN HONOR OF PROFESSOR RICHARD J. SMITH: GUEST EDITORS’ INTRODUCTIONUNIT ROOT INFERENCE FOR NON-STATIONARY LINEAR PROCESSES DRIVEN BY INFINITE VARIANCE INNOVATIONSSEMI-PARAMETRIC SEASONAL UNIT ROOT TESTSOn testing for unit roots and the initial observationBootstrap procedures for variance breaks test in time series with a changing trendHETEROSKEDASTIC TIME SERIES WITH A UNIT ROOTA Detrended Range Unit Root (DRUR) TestCointegrating Regressions with Time HeterogeneityIMPROVED AND EXTENDED END-OF-SAMPLE INSTABILITY TESTS USING A FEASIBLE QUASI-GENERALIZED LEAST SQUARES PROCEDUREPANEL UNIT ROOT TESTS WITH CROSS-SECTION DEPENDENCE: A FURTHER INVESTIGATIONA HYBRID BOOTSTRAP APPROACH TO UNIT ROOT TESTSConfidence intervals for autoregressive coefficients near oneTesting for a rational bubble under long memoryThe effect of neglecting the slope parameters’ heterogeneity on dynamic models of corporate capital structureCUSUM of Squares‐Based Tests for a Change in PersistenceUNIT ROOT TESTS WITH WAVELETSExpectations hypotheses tests at Long HorizonsExpectations hypotheses tests at Long HorizonsHow useful are tests for unit‐root in distinguishing unit‐root processes from stationary but non‐linear processes?Comment on “Statistical Adequacy and the Testing of Trend Versus Difference Stationarity” by Andreou and Spanos (Number 1)Finite sample behaviour of the level shift model using quasi-differenced dataTime-Transformed Unit Root Tests for Models with Non-Stationary VolatilityThe Behavior of Short-Term Interest Rates: International Evidence of Non-Linear AdjustmentAsymptotics for unit root tests under Markov regime‐switchingPARTIALLY LINEAR MODELS WITH UNIT ROOTSLIMITED TIME SERIES WITH A UNIT ROOTMaximum Likelihood Unit Root Testing in the Presence of GARCH: A New Test with Increased PowerSpurious Rejections with Endogenous Break Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Outliers and BreaksA Meta Analytic Approach to Testing for Panel CointegrationNonlinear Models of ConvergenceCOMMENTARIES ON “Unit Root Testing in Practice: Dealing with Uncertainty over the Trend and Initial Condition,” by David I. Harvey, Stephen J. Leybourne, and A.M. Robert TaylorBOOTSTRAP UNIT ROOT TESTS FOR TIME SERIES WITH NONSTATIONARY VOLATILITYA Sieve Bootstrap For The Test Of A Unit RootA multivariate long-memory model with structural breaksARE UK SHARE PRICES TOO HIGH? FUNDAMENTAL VALUE OR NEW ERATHE REAL INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTIAL: INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE BASED ON NON-LINEAR UNIT ROOT TESTSBootstrapMUnit Root TestsTHE IMPACT OF PERSISTENT CYCLES ON ZERO FREQUENCY UNIT ROOT TESTSBOOTSTRAP UNION TESTS FOR UNIT ROOTS IN THE PRESENCE OF NONSTATIONARY VOLATILITYJoint hypothesis specification for unit root tests with a structural breakUnit root tests and structural change when the initial observation is drawn from its unconditional distributionA POWERFUL TEST OF THE AUTOREGRESSIVE UNIT ROOT HYPOTHESIS BASED ON A TUNING PARAMETER FREE STATISTICTESTING FOR A UNIT ROOT IN THE PRESENCE OF A POSSIBLE BREAK IN TRENDROBUST INFERENCE IN AUTOREGRESSIONS WITH MULTIPLE OUTLIERSTHE PROPERTIES OF KULLBACK–LEIBLER DIVERGENCE FOR THE UNIT ROOT HYPOTHESISGLS-BASED UNIT ROOT TESTS WITH MULTIPLE STRUCTURAL BREAKS UNDER BOTH THE NULL AND THE ALTERNATIVE HYPOTHESESOptimal Fractional Dickey–Fuller testsThe Calculation of Some Limiting Distributions Arising in Near‐Integrated Models with GLS DetrendingWavelet energy ratio unit root testsWild bootstrap seasonal unit root tests for time series with periodic nonstationary volatilityPairwise influences in dynamic choice: network-based model and applicationThe Performance of Lag Selection and Detrending Methods for HEGY Seasonal Unit Root TestsRobust Inference for Near-Unit Root Processes with Time-Varying Error VariancesBootstrapping unit root tests with covariatesRange Unit-Root (RUR) Tests: Robust against Nonlinearities, Error Distributions, Structural Breaks and OutliersPower of a Unit-Root Test and the Initial Condition50 years of capital mobility in the eurozone: breaking the Feldstein-Horioka puzzleA MODIFIED INFORMATION CRITERION FOR COINTEGRATION TESTS BASED ON A VAR APPROXIMATIONTESTING FOR UNIT ROOTS IN AUTOREGRESSIONS WITH MULTIPLE LEVEL SHIFTSMarginal likelihood and unit rootsCharacterising economic trends by Bayesian stochastic model specification searchNonstationary-volatility robust panel unit root tests and the great moderationImplementing unit roost tests in ARMA models of unknown orderA joint test for structural stability and a unit root in autoregressionsEfficient tests of the seasonal unit root hypothesisA simple, robust and powerful test of the trend hypothesisRobust estimation for structural spurious regressions and a Hausman-type cointegration testMinimizing the impact of the initial condition on testing for unit rootsEstimating deterministic trends with an integrated or stationary noise componentOn the simultaneous estimation of delay model parameters in economic dynamicsOn LASSO for predictive regressionUnit root testingSpectral approach to parameter-free unit root testingBIC-based unit-root detection: simulation-based evidenceBayesian model selection for unit root testing with multiple structural breaksA Gini-based unit root testModified unit root tests with nuisance parameter free asymptotic distributionsA note on mean squared prediction error under the unit root model with deterministic trendA nonparametric unit root test under nonstationary volatilityOn the asymptotic distribution of the Dickey Fuller-GLS test statisticA time series paradox: unit root tests perform poorly when data are cointegratedAsymptotic distribution of the conditional-sum-of-squares estimator under moderate deviation from a unit root in MA(1)A new approach to unit root testingSpurious regressionMultiple unit root tests under uncertainty over the initial condition: some powerful modificationsCovariate unit root tests with good size and powerLag optimisation and finite-sample size distortion of unit root testsOn the order of integration of monthly US ex-ante and ex-post real interest rates: new evidence from over a century of dataA simple modification to improve the finite sample properties of Ng and Perron's unit root testsTesting the persistence of the forward premium: structural changes or misspecification?The relevance of the monetary model for the euro / USD exchange rate determination: a long run perspectiveHow should central banks respond to non-neutral inflation expectations?Bootstrap point optimal unit root testsSemiparametric stationarity and fractional unit roots tests based on data-driven multidimensional increment ratio statisticsInternational mobility of capital in the United States: robust evidence from time-series testsOn trend breaks and initial condition in unit root testingTerm spread regressions of the rational expectations hypothesis of the term structure allowing for risk premium effectsAre US real house prices stationary? New evidence from univariate and panel dataTime-varying persistence of inflation: evidence from a wavelet-based approachTesting for a unit root against ESTAR stationarityUncertainty in the housing market: evidence from US statesCausal relationships between economic policy uncertainty and housing market returns in China and India: evidence from linear and nonlinear panel and time series modelsEstimating nonlinear DSGE models by the simulated method of moments: with an application to business cyclesTFT-bootstrap: resampling time series in the frequency domain to obtain replicates in the time domainAn adaptive truncated product method for combining dependent \(p\)-valuesRegulated seasonal unit root processThe co-integration of CDS and bonds in time-varying volatility dynamics: do credit risk swaps lower bond risks?Long-memory modeling and forecasting: evidence from the U.S. historical series of inflationBootstrap unit root tests in panels with cross-sectional dependencyTesting for unit roots in time series models with non-stationary volatilityGLS-based unit root tests for bounded processesLinear process bootstrap unit root testTesting for unit roots in the possible presence of multiple trend breaks using minimum Dickey-Fuller statisticsTesting for a trend with persistent errorsPortmanteau-type tests for unit-root and cointegrationUnderstanding the effect of technology shocks in SVARs with long-run restrictionsCointegration testing under structural change: reducing size distortions and improving power of residual based testsTesting for Unit Roots and the Impact of Quadratic Trends, with an Application to Relative Primary Commodity PricesBeyond panel unit root tests: using multiple testing to determine the nonstationarity properties of individual series in a panelJackknife estimation of stationary autoregressive modelsJoint maximum likelihood estimation of unit root testing equations and GARCH processes: some finite-sample issuesModified fast double sieve bootstraps for ADF testsDetection and attribution of climate change through econometric methodsFractional integration and the volatility of UK interest ratesStructural breaks, tourism development, and economic growth: Evidence from TaiwanBootstrap Unit-Root Tests: Comparison and ExtensionsCONSISTENT AND CONSERVATIVE MODEL SELECTION WITH THE ADAPTIVE LASSO IN STATIONARY AND NONSTATIONARY AUTOREGRESSIONSBounds, Breaks and Unit Root TestsInference related to common breaks in a multivariate system with joined segmented trends with applications to global and hemispheric temperaturesTesting for unit roots in bounded time seriesLiquidity risk and the covered bond market in times of crisis: empirical evidence from GermanyUnit root tests in the presence of an innovation variance break that has power against the mean break stationary alternativeLag Length Selection in DF-GLS Unit Root TestsModelling risk in agricultural finance: Application to the poultry industry in TaiwanA class of simple distribution-free rank-based unit root testsUnit root testing under a local break in trendSimple tests for stock return predictability with good size and power propertiesConsistent inference for predictive regressions in persistent economic systemsPowerful Unit Root Tests Free of Nuisance ParametersGLS detrending, efficient unit root tests and structural change.A simple solution for spurious regressionsTESTING FOR UNIT ROOTS IN THE PRESENCE OF A POSSIBLE BREAK IN TREND AND NONSTATIONARY VOLATILITYSADDLEPOINT AND ESTIMATED SADDLEPOINT APPROXIMATIONS FOR OPTIMAL UNIT ROOT TESTSModel selection for integrated autoregressive processes of infinite orderTesting for nonlinear deterministic components when the order of integration is unknownThe buffer stock model redux? An analysis of the dynamics of foreign reserve accumulationOrder selection for possibly infinite-order non-stationary time seriesIdentification of the differencing operator of a non-stationary time series via testing for zeroes in the spectral densityWALD TESTS FOR DETECTING MULTIPLE STRUCTURAL CHANGES IN PERSISTENCERecursive adjustment, unit root tests and structural breaksUnit root testing with stationary covariates and a structural break in the trend functionLag truncation and the local asymptotic distribution of the ADF test for a unit rootConfidence sets for the date of a break in level and trend when the order of integration is unknownA computationally convenient unit root test with covariates, conditional heteroskedasticity and efficient detrendingEfficient tests for unit roots with prediction errorsMeasurement errors and outliers in seasonal unit root testing