A new method for obtaining sharp compound Poisson approximation error estimates for sums of locally dependent random variables

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Publication:453260

DOI10.3150/09-BEJ201zbMATH Open1266.60039arXiv1010.1625OpenAlexW3100253441MaRDI QIDQ453260FDOQ453260


Authors: Michael V. Boutsikas, Eutichia Vaggelatou Edit this on Wikidata


Publication date: 19 September 2012

Published in: Bernoulli (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: Let X1,X2,...,Xn be a sequence of independent or locally dependent random variables taking values in mathbbZ+. In this paper, we derive sharp bounds, via a new probabilistic method, for the total variation distance between the distribution of the sum sumi=1nXi and an appropriate Poisson or compound Poisson distribution. These bounds include a factor which depends on the smoothness of the approximating Poisson or compound Poisson distribution. This "smoothness factor" is of order mathrmO(sigma2), according to a heuristic argument, where sigma2 denotes the variance of the approximating distribution. In this way, we offer sharp error estimates for a large range of values of the parameters. Finally, specific examples concerning appearances of rare runs in sequences of Bernoulli trials are presented by way of illustration.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1010.1625




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