Fluctuation bounds for chaos plus noise in dynamical systems

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Abstract: We are interested in time series of the form yn=xn+xin where xn is generated by a chaotic dynamical system and where xin models observational noise. Using concentration inequalities, we derive fluctuation bounds for the auto-covariance function, the empirical measure, the kernel density estimator and the correlation dimension evaluated along y0,...,yn, for all n. The chaotic systems we consider include for instance the H'{e}non attractor for Benedicks-Carleson parameters.









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