Inference of kinetic Ising model on sparse graphs

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Publication:453766

DOI10.1007/S10955-012-0547-1zbMATH Open1251.82035arXiv1207.5405OpenAlexW3103028874MaRDI QIDQ453766FDOQ453766


Authors: Pan Zhang Edit this on Wikidata


Publication date: 27 September 2012

Published in: Journal of Statistical Physics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: Based on dynamical cavity method, we propose an approach to the inference of kinetic Ising model, which asks to reconstruct couplings and external fields from given time-dependent output of original system. Our approach gives an exact result on tree graphs and a good approximation on sparse graphs, it can be seen as an extension of Belief Propagation inference of static Ising model to kinetic Ising model. While existing mean field methods to the kinetic Ising inference e.g., na" ive mean-field, TAP equation and simply mean-field, use approximations which calculate magnetizations and correlations at time t from statistics of data at time t1, dynamical cavity method can use statistics of data at times earlier than t1 to capture more correlations at different time steps. Extensive numerical experiments show that our inference method is superior to existing mean-field approaches on diluted networks.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1207.5405




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