Finite-Sample Risk Bounds for Maximum Likelihood Estimation With Arbitrary Penalties

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Publication:4569216



Abstract: The MDL two-part coding extitindexofresolvability provides a finite-sample upper bound on the statistical risk of penalized likelihood estimators over countable models. However, the bound does not apply to unpenalized maximum likelihood estimation or procedures with exceedingly small penalties. In this paper, we point out a more general inequality that holds for arbitrary penalties. In addition, this approach makes it possible to derive exact risk bounds of order 1/n for iid parametric models, which improves on the order (logn)/n resolvability bounds. We conclude by discussing implications for adaptive estimation.













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