Time-coherent risk measures for continuous-time Markov chains
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Publication:4579838
DOI10.1137/16M1063794zbMATH Open1410.91263arXiv1701.08453OpenAlexW2963199165WikidataQ129734747 ScholiaQ129734747MaRDI QIDQ4579838FDOQ4579838
Authors: Darinka Dentcheva, Andrzej Ruszczyński 
Publication date: 10 August 2018
Published in: SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics (Search for Journal in Brave)
Abstract: We develop an approach to time-consistent risk evaluation of continuous-time processes in Markov systems. Our analysis is based on dual representation of coherent risk measures, differentiability concepts for multivalued mappings, and a refined concept of time consistency. We prove that the risk measures are defined by a family of risk evaluation functionals (transition risk mappings), which depend on state, time, and the transition function. Their dual representations are risk multikernels of the Markov system. We introduce the concept of a semi-derivative of a risk multikernel and use it to generalize the concept of a generator of a Markov process. Using these semi-derivatives, we derive a system of ordinary differential equations that the risk evaluation must satisfy, which generalize the classical backward Kolmogorov equations for Markov processes. Additionally, we construct convergent discrete-time approximations to the continuous-time risk measures.
Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1701.08453
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Cited In (7)
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- Markov chains under nonlinear expectation
- Wasserstein perturbations of Markovian transition semigroups
- Time sensitive functionals of marked Cox processes
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