Consistent recalibration of yield curve models

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Publication:4581289

DOI10.1111/MAFI.12159zbMATH Open1411.91622arXiv1502.02926OpenAlexW1501485946MaRDI QIDQ4581289FDOQ4581289


Authors: Philipp Harms, David Stefanovits, Josef Teichmann, Mario V. Wüthrich Edit this on Wikidata


Publication date: 16 August 2018

Published in: Mathematical Finance (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: The analytical tractability of affine (short rate) models, such as the Vasicek and the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross models, has made them a popular choice for modelling the dynamics of interest rates. However, in order to account properly for the dynamics of real data, these models need to exhibit time-dependent or even stochastic parameters. This in turn breaks their tractability, and modelling and simulating becomes an arduous task. We introduce a new class of Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) models that both fit the dynamics of real market data and remain tractable. We call these models consistent recalibration (CRC) models. These CRC models appear as limits of concatenations of forward rate increments, each belonging to a Hull-White extended affine factor model with possibly different parameters. That is, we construct HJM models from "tangent" affine models. We develop a theory for a continuous path version of such models and discuss their numerical implementations within the Vasicek and Cox-Ingersoll-Ross frameworks.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1502.02926




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