Deviance information criteria for model selection in approximate Bayesian computation

DOI10.2202/1544-6115.1678zbMATH Open1296.92034arXiv1105.0269OpenAlexW2066209107WikidataQ56689498 ScholiaQ56689498MaRDI QIDQ458231FDOQ458231

Guillaume Laval, Olivier Francois

Publication date: 7 October 2014

Published in: Statistical Applications in Genetics and Molecular Biology (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a class of algorithmic methods in Bayesian inference using statistical summaries and computer simulations. ABC has become popular in evolutionary genetics and in other branches of biology. However model selection under ABC algorithms has been a subject of intense debate during the recent years. Here we propose novel approaches to model selection based on posterior predictive distributions and approximations of the deviance. We argue that this framework can settle some contradictions between the computation of model probabilities and posterior predictive checks using ABC posterior distributions. A simulation study and an analysis of a resequencing data set of human DNA show that the deviance criteria lead to sensible results in a number of model choice problems of interest to population geneticists.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1105.0269

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zbMATH Keywords

approximate Bayesian computationmodel choiceinformation criterionexpected deviancepopulation genetic models

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

General biostatistics (92B15)

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