Asymptotic exponentiality of the first exit time of the Shiryaev–Roberts diffusion with constant positive drift

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Publication:4596535




Abstract: We consider the first exit time of a Shiryaev-Roberts diffusion with constant positive drift from the interval [0,A] where A>0. We show that the moment generating function (Laplace transform) of a suitably standardized version of the first exit time converges to that of the unit-mean exponential distribution as Ao+infty. The proof is explicit in that the moment generating function of the first exit time is first expressed analytically and in a closed form, and then the desired limit as Ao+infty is evaluated directly. The result is of importance in the area of quickest change-point detection, and its discrete-time counterpart has been previously established - although in a different manner - by Pollak and Tartakovsky (2009).









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