Scale-invariance underlying the logistic equation and its social applications

DOI10.1016/J.PHYSLETA.2012.10.054zbMATH Open1298.37078arXiv1204.2422OpenAlexW2003311030MaRDI QIDQ469738FDOQ469738

A. Plastino, A. Hernando

Publication date: 11 November 2014

Published in: Physics Letters. A (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: On the basis of dynamical principles we derive the Logistic Equation (LE), widely employed (among multiple applications) in the simulation of population growth, and demonstrate that scale-invariance and a mean-value constraint are sufficient and necessary conditions for obtaining it. We also generalize the LE to multi-component systems and show that the above dynamical mechanisms underlie large number of scale-free processes. Examples are presented regarding city-populations, diffusion in complex networks, and popularity of technological products, all of them obeying the multi-component logistic equation in an either stochastic or deterministic way. So as to assess the predictability-power of our present formalism, we advance a prediction, regarding the next 60 months, for the number of users of the three main web browsers (Explorer, Firefox and Chrome) popularly referred as "Browser Wars".

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1204.2422

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zbMATH Keywords

logistic equationsocial systemsscale-invariance

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Dynamical systems in biology (37N25) Population dynamics (general) (92D25) One- and multidimensional scaling in the social and behavioral sciences (91C15) Dynamical systems involving maps of the interval (37E05)

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• Unravelling the size distribution of social groups with information theory in complex networks
• Derivation of a logistic equation for organizations, and its expansion into a competitive organizations simulation

Cited In (4)

• Rising relative fluctuation as a warning indicator of discontinuous transitions in symbiotic metapopulations
• Limits to success. The iron law of Verhulst
• Lyapunov functions for time-scale dynamics on Riemannian geometries of the simplex
• Evolving complex networks with logistic property: Global versus local growth

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