Conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation of a coupled Lorenz model

DOI10.1155/2013/846973MaRDI QIDQ474682zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors Lili Yang

Publication date 24 November 2014

Published in Mathematical Problems in Engineering (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1155/2013/846973

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Computational methods for problems pertaining to geophysics (86-08)

Review text

Summary: The conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation (CNOP) technique is a useful tool for studying the limits of predictability in numerical weather forecasting and climate predictions. The CNOP is the optimal combined mode of the initial and model parameter perturbations that induce the largest departure from a given reference state. The CNOP has two special cases: the CNOP-I is linked to initial perturbations and has the largest nonlinear evolution at the time of prediction, while the other case, CNOP-P, is related to the parameter perturbations that cause the largest departure from a given reference state at a given future time. Solving the CNOPs of a numerical model is a mathematical problem. In this paper, we calculate the CNOP, CNOP-I, and CNOP-P of a coupled Lorenz model and study the properties of these CNOPs. We find that the CNOP, CNOP-I, and CNOP-P always locate the boundary of their respective constraints. This property is also demonstrated analytically for the model whose solutions depend continuously on the initial and parameter perturbations, which provides a theoretical basis for testing the accountability of the numerically computed CNOPs. In addition, we analyze the features of the CNOPs for the coupled Lorenz model and explain their structures.

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Cites work

• Deterministic Nonperiodic Flow
• Maximum principle of conditional optimal nonlinear perturbation
• Nonmonotone Spectral Projected Gradient Methods on Convex Sets
• On the limited memory BFGS method for large scale optimization

Cited in

(7)

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• Recent progress in applications of the conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation approach to atmosphere-ocean sciences
• Application of the conditional nonlinear optimal perturbations method in a theoretical grassland ecosystem
• Applications of nonlinear optimization approach to atmospheric and oceanic sciences
• Adjoint-free calculation method for conditional nonlinear optimal perturbations
• Sensitivity and resilience of the climate system: a conditional nonlinear optimization approach
• Applications of nonlinear optimization method to numerical studies of atmospheric and oceanic sciences

Describes a project that uses

Uses Software

• L-BFGS
• VMCWD

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