Time Series Based Errors and Empirical Errors in Fertility Forecasts in the Nordic Countries*

DOI10.1111/J.1751-5823.2004.TB00220.XzbMATH Open1304.62134OpenAlexW2022819890MaRDI QIDQ4832071FDOQ4832071

Authors: Nico Keilman, Dinh Quang Pham 

Publication date: 3 January 2005

Published in: International Statistical Review (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1751-5823.2004.tb00220.x

Recommendations

• Joint Forecasts of U.S. Marital Fertility, Nuptiality, Births, and Marriages Using Time Series Models
• Assumptions on Fertility in Stochastic Population Forecasts*
• Accounting for uncertainty about past values in probabilistic projections of the total fertility rate for most countries
• Comparative ARIMA models for age-specific fertility rates

zbMATH Keywords

time seriestotal fertility rateARCH modelNordic countriesempirical forecast errorsnaïve forecaststochastic population forecast

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH) (62M10) Applications of statistics to biology and medical sciences; meta analysis (62P10)

Cites Work

• Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity
• Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Forecasting Births in Post-Transition Populations: Stochastic Renewal with Serially Correlated Fertility

Cited In (3)

• Comparative ARIMA models for age-specific fertility rates
• Joint Forecasts of U.S. Marital Fertility, Nuptiality, Births, and Marriages Using Time Series Models
• Assumptions on Fertility in Stochastic Population Forecasts*

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