Technical note -- A note on the equivalence of upper confidence bounds and Gittins indices for patient agents

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Abstract: This note gives a short, self-contained, proof of a sharp connection between Gittins indices and Bayesian upper confidence bound algorithms. I consider a Gaussian multi-armed bandit problem with discount factor gamma. The Gittins index of an arm is shown to equal the gamma-quantile of the posterior distribution of the arm's mean plus an error term that vanishes as gammao1. In this sense, for sufficiently patient agents, a Gittins index measures the highest plausible mean-reward of an arm in a manner equivalent to an upper confidence bound.











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