Optimal choice among a class of nonparametric estimators of the jump rate for piecewise-deterministic Markov processes

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Publication:502830

DOI10.1214/16-EJS1207zbMATH Open1353.62091arXiv1506.07722OpenAlexW2242531850MaRDI QIDQ502830FDOQ502830


Authors: Romain Azaïs, Aurélie Muller-Gueudin Edit this on Wikidata


Publication date: 11 January 2017

Published in: Electronic Journal of Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: A piecewise-deterministic Markov process is a stochastic process whose behavior is governed by an ordinary differential equation punctuated by random jumps occurring at random times. We focus on the nonparametric estimation problem of the jump rate for such a stochastic model observed within a long time interval under an ergodicity condition. We introduce an uncountable class (indexed by the deterministic flow) of recursive kernel estimates of the jump rate and we establish their strong pointwise consistency as well as their asymptotic normality. We propose to choose among this class the estimator with the minimal variance, which is unfortunately unknown and thus remains to be estimated. We also discuss the choice of the bandwidth parameters by cross-validation methods.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1506.07722




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