Estimation of future discretionary benefits in traditional life insurance

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Publication:5045340




Abstract: In the context of life insurance with profit participation, the future discretionary benefits (FDB), which are a central item for Solvency~II reporting, are generally calculated by computationally expensive Monte Carlo algorithms. We derive analytic formulas to estimate lower and upper bounds for the FDB. This yields an estimation interval for the FDB, and the average of lower and upper bound is a simple estimator. These formulae are designed for real world applications, and we compare the results to publicly available reporting data.









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