Envelopes of conditional probabilities extending a strategy and a prior probability
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Abstract: Any strategy and prior probability together are a coherent conditional probability that can be extended, generally not in a unique way, to a full conditional probability. The corresponding class of extensions is studied and a closed form expression for its envelopes is provided. Then a topological characterization of the subclasses of extensions satisfying the further properties of full disintegrability and full strong conglomerability is given and their envelopes are studied.
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- Basic ideas underlying conglomerability and disintegrability
- Envelopes of joint probabilities with given marginals under absolute continuity or equivalence constraints
- Probabilities of conditionals and previsions of iterated conditionals
- Algebraic aspects and coherence conditions for conjoined and disjoined conditionals
- Compound conditionals, Fréchet-Hoeffding bounds, and Frank t-norms
- Full conglomerability
- Probabilistic squares and hexagons of opposition under coherence
- On trivalent logics, probabilistic weak deduction theorems, and a general import-export principle
- Probabilistic inferences from conjoined to iterated conditionals
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