A Prediction Tournament Paradox

DOI10.1080/00031305.2019.1604430OpenAlexW2962816176WikidataQ128041934 ScholiaQ128041934MaRDI QIDQ5056971

David J. Aldous

Publication date: 14 December 2022

Published in: The American Statistician (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1903.02131

zbMATH Keywords

competitionforecastingBradley-Terry modelBrier scoreprobability assessment

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Statistics (62-XX)

Related Items (2)

Gambling Under Unknown Probabilities as Proxy for Real World Decisions Under Uncertainty ⋮ A conversation with David J. Aldous

Cites Work

• Rank verification for exponential families
• MM algorithms for generalized Bradley-Terry models.

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