A Prediction Tournament Paradox

DOI10.1080/00031305.2019.1604430MaRDI QIDQ5056971zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors David Aldous

Publication date 14 December 2022

Published in The American Statistician (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/1903.02131

zbMATH Keywords

Bradley-Terry modelBrier scorecompetitionforecastingprobability assessment

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Statistics (62-XX)

Cites work

• MM algorithms for generalized Bradley-Terry models.
• Rank verification for exponential families

Cited in

(3)

• A conversation with David J. Aldous
• Gambling Under Unknown Probabilities as Proxy for Real World Decisions Under Uncertainty
• The football model, stochastic ordering and martingale transport

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