Predicting match outcomes in association football using team ratings and player ratings

DOI10.1177/1471082X20929881MaRDI QIDQ5070485zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Halvard Arntzen, Lars Magnus Hvattum

Publication date 12 April 2022

Published in Statistical Modelling (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1177/1471082x20929881

zbMATH Keywords

competing riskElo ratingordered logit regressionplus-minus ratingsurvival analysis

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Statistics (62-XX)

Cites work

• A random point process model for the score in sport matches
• Bayesian modelling of football outcomes: using the Skellam's distribution for the goal difference
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1834429 (Why is no real title available?)
• Maximizing performance with an eye on the finances: a chance-constrained model for football transfer market decisions
• Predicting matches in international football tournaments with random forests
• Ranking soccer teams on the basis of their current strength: A comparison of maximum likelihood approaches

Cited in

(7)

• Elo ratings and the sports model: a neglected topic in applied probability?
• Evaluating the effectiveness of different player rating systems in predicting the results of professional snooker matches
• Predicting matches in international football tournaments with random forests
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 5064300 (Why is no real title available?)
• Forecasting binary outcomes in soccer
• Evaluating the capacity of paired comparison methods to aggregate rankings of separate groups
• Plus-minus models for evaluating and scouting soccer players using possession sequences

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