On Bayesian data assimilation for PDEs with ill-posed forward problems

DOI10.1088/1361-6420/AC7ACDzbMATH Open1495.35206arXiv2107.07593OpenAlexW4283275932WikidataQ114096858 ScholiaQ114096858MaRDI QIDQ5089412FDOQ5089412

Franziska Weber, Samuel Lanthaler, Siddhartha Mishra

Publication date: 19 July 2022

Published in: Inverse Problems (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: We study Bayesian data assimilation (filtering) for time-evolution PDEs, for which the underlying forward problem may be very unstable or ill-posed. Such PDEs, which include the Navier-Stokes equations of fluid dynamics, are characterized by a high sensitivity of solutions to perturbations of the initial data, a lack of rigorous global well-posedness results as well as possible non-convergence of numerical approximations. Under very mild and readily verifiable general hypotheses on the forward solution operator of such PDEs, we prove that the posterior measure expressing the solution of the Bayesian filtering problem is stable with respect to perturbations of the noisy measurements, and we provide quantitative estimates on the convergence of approximate Bayesian filtering distributions computed from numerical approximations. For the Navier-Stokes equations, our results imply uniform stability of the filtering problem even at arbitrarily small viscosity, when the underlying forward problem may become ill-posed, as well as the compactness of numerical approximants in a suitable metric on time-parametrized probability measures.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/2107.07593

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zbMATH Keywords

data assimilationBayesian filteringfluid dynamicsBayesian inversionnumerical discretization

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Navier-Stokes equations (35Q30) Ill-posed problems for PDEs (35R25) Inverse problems for PDEs (35R30) Initial-boundary value problems for nonlinear higher-order PDEs (35G31)

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Cited In (3)

• Sampling the posterior: an approach to non-Gaussian data assimilation
• Bayesian Inverse Problems Are Usually Well-Posed
• Data-driven forward discretizations for Bayesian inversion

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