Auction optimization using regression trees and linear models as integer programs

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Publication:511796

DOI10.1016/J.ARTINT.2015.05.004zbMATH Open1404.68122arXiv1401.1061OpenAlexW1557734215MaRDI QIDQ511796FDOQ511796

Sicco Verwer, Qing Chuan Ye, Yingqian Zhang

Publication date: 22 February 2017

Published in: Artificial Intelligence (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: In a sequential auction with multiple bidding agents, it is highly challenging to determine the ordering of the items to sell in order to maximize the revenue due to the fact that the autonomy and private information of the agents heavily influence the outcome of the auction. The main contribution of this paper is two-fold. First, we demonstrate how to apply machine learning techniques to solve the optimal ordering problem in sequential auctions. We learn regression models from historical auctions, which are subsequently used to predict the expected value of orderings for new auctions. Given the learned models, we propose two types of optimization methods: a black-box best-first search approach, and a novel white-box approach that maps learned models to integer linear programs (ILP) which can then be solved by any ILP-solver. Although the studied auction design problem is hard, our proposed optimization methods obtain good orderings with high revenues. Our second main contribution is the insight that the internal structure of regression models can be efficiently evaluated inside an ILP solver for optimization purposes. To this end, we provide efficient encodings of regression trees and linear regression models as ILP constraints. This new way of using learned models for optimization is promising. As the experimental results show, it significantly outperforms the black-box best-first search in nearly all settings.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1401.1061




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