Decompounding discrete distributions: A nonparametric Bayesian approach

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Publication:5118466

DOI10.1111/SJOS.12413zbMATH Open1450.62029arXiv1903.11142OpenAlexW3103352383WikidataQ126988067 ScholiaQ126988067MaRDI QIDQ5118466FDOQ5118466

Shota Gugushvili, Frank van der Meulen, Ester Mariucci

Publication date: 8 September 2020

Published in: Scandinavian Journal of Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: Suppose that a compound Poisson process is observed discretely in time and assume that its jump distribution is supported on the set of natural numbers. In this paper we propose a non-parametric Bayesian approach to estimate the intensity of the underlying Poisson process and the distribution of the jumps. We provide a MCMC scheme for obtaining samples from the posterior. We apply our method on both simulated and real data examples, and compare its performance with the frequentist plug-in estimator proposed by Buchmann and Gr"ubel. On a theoretical side, we study the posterior from the frequentist point of view and prove that as the sample size nightarrowinfty, it contracts around the `true', data-generating parameters at rate 1/sqrtn, up to a logn factor.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1903.11142




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