Heuristics for the arithmetic of elliptic curves

DOI10.1142/9789813272880_0060MaRDI QIDQ5122035zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Bjorn Poonen

Publication date 22 September 2020

Published in Proceedings of the International Congress of Mathematicians (ICM 2018) (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/1711.10112

zbMATH Keywords

abelian varietyelliptic curverankSelmer groupShafarevich-Tate group

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Elliptic curves over global fields (11G05) (L)-functions of varieties over global fields; Birch-Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture (11G40) Global ground fields in algebraic geometry (14G25) Elliptic curves (14H52) Arithmetic ground fields for abelian varieties (14K15)

Abstract: This is an introduction to a probabilistic model for the arithmetic of elliptic curves, a model developed in a series of articles of the author with Bhargava, Kane, Lenstra, Park, Rains, Voight, and Wood. We discuss the theoretical evidence for the model, and we make predictions about elliptic curves based on corresponding theorems proved about the model. In particular, the model suggests that all but finitely many elliptic curves over $mathbbQ$ have rank $le21$, which would imply that the rank is uniformly bounded.

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Cited in

(12)

• Computing newforms using supersingular isogeny graphs
• A probabilistic model for the distribution of ranks of elliptic curves over \(\mathbb{Q}\)
• The even parity Goldfeld conjecture: congruent number elliptic curves
• A heuristic for boundedness of ranks of elliptic curves
• Some Heuristics about Elliptic Curves
• Heuristics on pairing-friendly elliptic curves
• On Bhargava's heuristics for \(\mathbf{GL}_2(\mathbb{F}_p)\)-number fields and the number of elliptic curves of bounded conductor
• On the distribution of equivalence classes of random symmetric p‐adic matrices
• Arithmetic Conjectures Suggested by the Statistical Behavior of Modular Symbols
• Computational Number Theory, Past, Present, and Future
• RANK JUMPS AND GROWTH OF SHAFAREVICH–TATE GROUPS FOR ELLIPTIC CURVES IN -EXTENSIONS
• Expected Mordell-Weil rank heuristics through Sato-Tate, Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjectures

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