Predicting rainy seasons: quantifying the beliefs of prophets

DOI10.1080/02664760903301168MaRDI QIDQ5124747zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors John Paul Gosling, Jose Ailton Alencar Andrade

Publication date 30 September 2020

Published in Journal of Applied Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1080/02664760903301168

zbMATH Keywords

Brazilian climateelicitationKumaraswamy distributionrain prophetsseasonal weather

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Statistics (62-XX)

Recommendations

• Expert knowledge elicitation using item response theory
• Publication:4734607
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 4155649
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1348800
• Limits of predictability

Cites work

• Measurement Errors in Probability Judgments
• Talking probabilities: Communicating probabilistic information with words and numbers
• The lady tasting tea. How statistics revolutionized science in the 20th century
• Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities

Cited in

(3)

• Exact posterior computation for the binomial-Kumaraswamy model
• Elicitation of the parameters of multiple linear models
• Expert knowledge elicitation using item response theory

This page was built for publication: Predicting rainy seasons: quantifying the beliefs of prophets

Report a bug (only for logged in users!)Click here to report a bug for this page (MaRDI item Q5124747)