Predictive modeling of disease propagation in a mobile, connected community using cellular automata

DOI10.1063/5.0021113MaRDI QIDQ5129850zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors Ishant Tiwari, Pradeep Sarin, P. Parmananda

Publication date 2 November 2020

Published in Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/2003.09348

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Mathematical modeling or simulation for problems pertaining to biology (92-10) Epidemiology (92D30)

Abstract: We present numerical results obtained from the modelling of a stochastic, highly connected and mobile community. The spread of attributes like health, disease among the community members is simulated using cellular automata on a planar 2 dimensional bounded space. With remarkably few assumptions, we are able to predict the future course of propagation of such disease as a function of time and the fine-tuning of parameters related to the interaction among the automata.

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Cites work

• Critical behaviour of a probabilistic automata network SIS model for the spread of an infectious disease in a population of moving individuals
• Modeling epidemics using cellular automata
• Stochastic epidemic models: a survey

Cited in

(3)

• Control attenuation and temporary immunity in a cellular automata SEIR epidemic model
• Stochastic effects on the dynamics of an epidemic due to population subdivision
• Explosive synchronization in temporal networks: a comparative study

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