Combining historical data and bookmakers’ odds in modelling football scores

DOI10.1177/1471082X18798414OpenAlexW2963002477WikidataQ129080079 ScholiaQ129080079MaRDI QIDQ5142217

Francesco Pauli, Leonardo Egidi, Nicola Torelli

Publication date: 30 December 2020

Published in: Statistical Modelling (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1802.08848

zbMATH Keywords

model checksBayesian Poisson modelbetting oddfootball predictionhistorical results

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Statistics (62-XX)

Related Items (3)

Unnamed Item ⋮ Efficient Posterior Sampling for Bayesian Poisson Regression ⋮ Discovering associations between players' performance indicators and matches' results in the European Soccer Leagues

Uses Software

• WinBUGS
• JAGS
• BayesDA

Cites Work

• Unnamed Item
• Bayesian model averaging: A tutorial. (with comments and a rejoinder).
• Bayesian modelling of football outcomes: using the Skellam's distribution for the goal difference
• Bayesian Modeling Using WinBUGS
• Bayesian Measures of Model Complexity and Fit
• Bayesian hierarchical model for the prediction of football results

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