When ideas go viral -- complex bifurcations in a two-stage transmission model

DOI10.1007/978-3-030-73241-7_14zbMATH Open1472.92217arXiv2011.08792OpenAlexW3190291964MaRDI QIDQ5153036FDOQ5153036

Authors: J. Heidecke, M. V. Barbarossa 

Publication date: 28 September 2021

Published in: Trends in Biomathematics: Chaos and Control in Epidemics, Ecosystems, and Cells (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: We consider the qualitative behavior of a mathematical model for transmission dynamics with two nonlinear stages of contagion. The proposed model is inspired by phenomena occurring in epidemiology (spread of infectious diseases) or social dynamics (spread of opinions, behaviors, ideas), and described by a compartmental approach. Upon contact with a promoter (contagious individual), a naive (susceptible) person can either become promoter himself or become $extitweakened$, hence more vulnerable. Weakened individuals become contagious when they experience a second contact with members of the promoter group. After a certain time in the contagious compartment, individuals become inactive (are insusceptible and cannot spread) and are removed from the chain of transmission. We combine this two-stage contagion process with renewal of the naive population, modeled by means of transitions from the weakened or the inactive status to the susceptible compartment. This leads to rich dynamics, showing for instance coexistence and bistability of equilibria and periodic orbits. Properties of (nontrivial) equilibria are studied analytically. In addition, a numerical investigation of the parameter space reveals numerous bifurcations, showing that the dynamics of such a system can be more complex than those of classical epidemiological ODE models.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/2011.08792

Recommendations

• A generalized model of social and biological contagion
• Analyzing the dynamics of a rumor transmission model with incubation
• A rumor transmission model with incubation in social networks
• A deterministic mathematical model for the spread of two rumors
• Ideodynamics: The kinetics of the evolution of ideas

zbMATH Keywords

diffusionbifurcationepidemic modelopinion model

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Social networks; opinion dynamics (91D30) Bifurcations of limit cycles and periodic orbits in dynamical systems (37G15)

Cites Work

• Dynamical models of tuberculosis and their applications
• MATCONT
• Introduction to Applied Nonlinear Dynamical Systems and Chaos
• Backward bifurcations in simple vaccination models
• An introduction to mathematical epidemiology
• Stability switches induced by immune system boosting in an SIRS model with discrete and distributed delays
• Immuno-epidemiology of a population structured by immune status: a mathematical study of waning immunity and immune system boosting
• An SIR epidemic model with partial temporary immunity modeled with delay
• Opinion dynamics over complex networks: kinetic modelling and numerical methods
• Bistability and multistability in opinion dynamics models
• Community resilience in collaborative learning
• Discontinuous transition of a multistage independent cascade model on networks

Cited In (4)

• Mathematical modelling and numerical bifurcation analysis of inbreeding and interdisciplinarity dynamics in academia
• A competing infection model for the spread of different viewpoints of a divisive idea
• A generalized model of social and biological contagion
• Understanding viral video dynamics through an epidemic modelling approach

This page was built for publication: When ideas go viral -- complex bifurcations in a two-stage transmission model

Report a bug (only for logged in users!)Click here to report a bug for this page (MaRDI item Q5153036)